Belarus, President Lukachenko points out about NATO forces along the Russian and Belarusian border.　　Teiichi Aoyama . Emeritus Prof. of Tokyo City University

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Belarus, President Lukachenko points out about NATO forces along the Russian and Belarusian border.
Teiichi Aoyama（Emeritus Prof. of Tokyo City University）
War on Ukraine. #4598 19 Feb. 2024

E-wave Tokyo　20　Feb.　2024

Assumed NATO troop positions
Original Map Source: Google Map

Belarusian President Lukashenko said that NATO is concentrating its forces on the border between Russia and the Republic of Belarus. According to the president, NATO has deployed tens of thousands of soldiers, hundreds of aircraft, and tanks on the border; the president did not specify what purpose the NATO countries had in doing so, but he did describe the existing risks.

telmenews(Russia) reported that "about 32,000 NATO troops, more than 1,000 armored vehicles, and 235 planes and helicopters are stationed near the Russian-Belarusian border," Belarusian President. President Lukashenko added that in his meeting with the republic's security forces, he believes that concerns about the possibility of World War III are not unfounded.

The size of NATO along the border is equivalent to about 10 days' worth of Russian troops defeated in the average Uk-Russian conflict over the past two years. Of course, if this were to sneak into Ukrainian territory without a declaration of war, it would be an outpost of WW3. But physically, it would be destroyed by the Russians in about a week.

In my opinion, these NATO forces are a mixture of US and Polish troops stationed on Polish territory, as well as Baltic states. All but the U.S. forces should be NATO's Ukrainian raiding force, which NATO had previously planned to be the first (spearhead) force into Ukraine, but if they enter from the western part of the country, it would be an outpost of WW3.

The specific locations are either (1) in central Ukraine, north-northeast of Kiev, or (2) in the easternmost part of Latvia, both of which Lukachenko points out are one, but looking at the war situation, it is possible that it is (1) since the Ukrainian army has suffered a major defeat at Avdeevka, but in this case, unlike (2), NATO would be fully inside Ukrainian territory.